The West’s “Theory of Victory“ in Ukraine: Convincing Ukraine to Fight a Futile War
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for May 26, 2024…
- Ukrainian forces continue to be overextended by growing Russian pressure including in Kharkov, as well as Ukraine’s own strategy to defend undefendable positions and even counterattack Russian forces;
- Within the Western media, “theories of victory“ are being proposed, collections of tired narratives long-since demonstrated as unrealistic;
- As long as the collective West fails to address fundamental weaknesses in its military industrial base, and the unsustainable nature of its foreign policy in the first place, attempts to defeat better prepared and organized adversaries will fail;
- Despite Ukrainian claims of success using ATACMS on Russian air defense systems, Russia is still able to produce more each year than Ukraine can damage or destroy, while Ukraine’s air defenses have been depleted and Western allies are unable to replace them;
References:
Daily Coverage of Ukraine:
The Duran:
Kalibrated:
Mark Sleboda:
SITREP
Economist - Ukraine’s desperate struggle to defend Kharkiv (May 20, 2024):
Business Insider - The US has given Ukraine nearly 1 million 155 mm artillery shells. Now it’s looking for US companies to build more of them (September 2022):
Theory of Victory
Foreign Affairs - A Theory of Victory for Ukraine (May 21, 2024):
RAND Corporation - Extending Russia, Competing from Advantageous Ground (2019):
Reuters - Russia has destroyed most of Ukraine’s defence industry - presidential adviser (March 2022):
Weapons and Tactics
Reuters - US preparing $275 million weapons package for Ukraine, officials say (May 23, 2024):
CNN - The West is tapping Russian money to arm Ukraine. Much more could follow (May 24, 2024):
Politico - Germany’s Ukraine air defense initiative falls flat (May 22, 2024):
NYT - Russia, in New Push, Increasingly Disrupts Ukraine’s Starlink Service (May 24, 2024):
CNN - Russia’s jamming of US-provided rocket systems complicates Ukraine’s war effort (May 6, 2023):
Reuters - Ukraine’s long-range glide bomb blunted by Russian jamming (May 24, 2024):
Newsweek - How Many S-400 Missile Systems Does Russia Have? (May 24, 2024):
Business Insider - China now reportedly has a full set of Russia’s advanced S-400 air-defense missile system (2018):
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