Gaza death toll may have been horrifyingly underestimated.
World’s oldest peer-reviewed medical journal The Lancet has dropped a horrifying assessment of the true death toll in Gaza.
Right, so with the genocide in Gaza still very much continuing, with more forced displacements and Israeli forces having most recently been attacking not just Rafah in the south, but also Gaza City again in the north and Khan Younis in between, it is of no surprise we are still seeing, though admittedly it’s getting harder to find in our media, the death toll in Gaza still rising. More and more we’re finding ourselves reliant on foreign media to keep up to date with matters, fortunately available online and in often in English making this a none too difficult task if like me you access most of your news online.
But one outlet I wasn’t expecting an intervention from is the very much western based oldest medical journal in the world weighing in on the matter of the Gaza death toll, for the Lancet, highly esteemed, peer reviewed scientific publication that it is, has by it’s own assessment determined that the actual death toll in Gaza could be some 4 times higher than the Gaza health ministry are actually reporting.
Right, so Gaza. The official death toll of Palestinians in Gaza, mainly women and children has now passed 38,000, but according to the highly regarded Lancet, that might be a hefty underestimation. The 38,000 figure is derived from people who have been killed since October 7th by Israeli forces but if you think about it, that figure can only be arrived at in an official capacity, if they’ve actual bodies to identify and the difficulty for the Gaza Health Ministry is that Gazan infrastructure they rely on to collate such figures has been destroyed, it’s become a much harder exercise to maintain figures, to collect data. Where normally the health ministry can rely on hospitals, deaths occurring as they do in hospitals, or people brought in dead, they have now had to augment their data collection sources to include first responders and the media, who may not be as reliable, it has to be considered a degradation in the quality of the data collected. These sources have , just like hospitals, in the course of Israeli atrocity all been targeted as well and that chain of information has continued to be disrupted and as a consequence of all of this, the Health Ministry has been separating those identified from hospital sources, from those bodies it has not been able to identify via other sources since last May and of those declared numbers of deaths, some 30% of them, remain unidentified.
That data collection issue is just one aspect of this Lancet report that estimates the true death toll in Gaza could be as high as 186,000 people.
So even with data collection difficulties, how can the official numbers be so far short of this Lancet estimate?
Well without a proper ceasefire to be able to check these and search for more bodies, the numbers aren’t likely to move towards each other any time soon, but the Lancet does point out where further unidentified bodies are likely to be and actually when you think about all of this it does unfortunately become quite a logical conclusion, as you’d expect from a scientific and peer reviewed publication.
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