A 1,2,3-Punch of Solar Storms Speed to Earth | Space Weather News 04 August 2023
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
00:00 Introduction
00:18 Space Weather and Environment Science Program at MU
00:57 Activity on the Sun
03:54 Solar Storm Model Predictions
05:35 Moon Phase
05:52 Solar Storm & Aurora 5-Day Outlook
07:04 Solar Flare & Radio Blackout 5-Day Outlook
08:21 Radiation Storm & Polar Aviation 5-Day Outlook
09:05 Synopsis and Closing
This week our Sun kicks into high gear launching a train of solar storms towards Earth. The first two should arrive on August 4th with a third arriving early to midday August 5th. We will likely bump up to G1 storm levels, with activity peaking on the 5th, but lasting possibly through the 6th before calming down. Aurora photographers could get views down to mid-latitudes if the orientation of these solar storms is favorable. In addition, we have several active regions in view this week that are keeping the solar flux well into the 160s and keeping radio blackout risk high. Amateur radio operators should expect moderate noise levels on the dayside radio bands to last throughout this week. GPS users should also remain vigilant for reception issues near dawn and dusk and also anywhere near aurora on Earth’s nightside once the solar storms hit. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, find out when and where aurora may be visible, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
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For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO:
Helioviewer:
Flare Analysis:
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS:
GOES Xray:
SOHO:
Stereo:
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie:
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts:
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind:
ACE Solar Wind:
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: 00:44:00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model:
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer:
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model:
Radio Propagation:
Near-Earth radiation environment:
Auroral Oval Ovation Products:
Global 3-hr Kp index:
GEOCHRON Weather Display:
USGS Ground Magnetometers:
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC:
SOLARHAM:
Spaceweather:
iSWA:
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, , , , , , , and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
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