Bayes theorem, the geometry of changing beliefs

Perhaps the most important formula in probability. Help fund future projects: An equally valuable form of support is to simply share some of the videos. Special thanks to these supporters: Home page: The quick proof: Interactive made by Reddit user Thoggalluth: The study with Steve: ~camerer/Ec101/ You can read more about Kahneman and Tversky’s work in Thinking Fast and Slow, or in one of my favorite books, The Undoing Project. Contents: 0:00 - Intro example 4:09 - Generalizing as a formula 10:13 - Making probability intuitive 13:35 - Issues with the Steve example ----------------— These animations are largely made using manim, a scrappy open-source pytho